Longmont group part of White House screwup


Sometimes guilt by association is a necessary part of politics. As anyone who reads this blog knows, I’m no fan of hero worship when it comes to politicians. All one has to do is look to past examples where this has gone really, really bad. I’m also not a fan of jumping on political bandwagons and avoid it as much as possible, even if it’s a cause, position, or person I may personally agree with. I tend to look differently at that particular cause, position, or person when it/they try to get this cult of personality thing going for them. Sort of like what Obama did in this last election cycle, and the mindless (of some, not all) following he gathered.

The problem with groups like this is they don’t seem to know when to step back and take a look at what they (or their leaders) are doing, and if it’s very smart. Example: Longmont Organizing for America, which use something like my.barackobama.com/xxx for their website address. I already mentioned them in my “Neighborhood liars, thugs, and brownshirts” story, and this isn’t a rehash of that, there’s more interesting national news regarding them.

The Associated Press reported today that “The White House is blaming unnamed political groups for the unsolicited e-mails it had wrongly insisted no one was receiving from its online operation.” I’ll help out and name one of those unnamed political groups: Longmont Organizing for America. They sent us an unsolicited email from Senior Advisor of the President David Axelrod, and included their own commentary, which in part included:
You may have already received this email from David Axelrod, Senior Advisor to President Obama, but Longmont Organizing for America would like to emphasize the importance of forwarding this ” Reality Check” information to your family, friends and neighbors.”

I’m sure other arms of Organizing for America sent out similar emails to thousands of people. These are the so-called groups the White House is blaming for this massive spam attack. This is also connected to the White House email address (flag@whitehouse.gov) that was a collection point to turn in and monitor dissidents of (so-called) health care reform. Is this what we’ve become as a society? Sad.

Getting back to the local aspect of this: did anyone else notice the complaint in the TC Line about political activities at the local farmers market? Guess what one of the activities listed on Longmont Organizing for America (can we cut the BS and call it was it is: Longmont Organizing for Obama) is? Yep, activism at the local farmers market. Anything for the cause, right? Even if it means bothering people in public (or spamming them online), the masses must be educated!

The people behind this should be fairly familiar to anyone who watches local politics. (The following is the case for the most part, with some exceptions)

  • They are the same people trying to kick LifeBridge out of town, go after rank and file church members, and want to block any possibility of them building their new church outside of Longmont (after forcing them out).
  • They were strong backers of the majority of council who were voted in back in ’07 (McCoy, Levison, Hansen, and Benker in her losing bid for Mayor).
  • They endlessly parade to the podium in support of these councilmembers – sort of like the blind hero worship they have for Obama, based on no real results, but just because they are on their side.
  • They are in favor of continuing litigation (and endless wasting of money) against the Town of Firestone and LifeBridge.
  • They back council’s position on backyard chickens and the endless hours of wasted time spent on that issue.
  • They back council’s position on limiting spraying for West Nile Virus, meanwhile traps around the city are catching elevated numbers of the types of mosquito’s that carry WNV, and people have contracted the virus.

There’s more, including the way they go after people with differing opinions in the above examples, often in a fairly nasty way. Again, anything for the cause(s), right?

This group is closely aligned with Karen Benker and Sean McCoy (who made an unforgettable speech about his hero), who in their own words during council meetings have gushed over Obama (not as much lately) and are all smiles when these people march before the podium. The other birds of a feather who are candidates this year are Kaye Fissinger (about the worst candidate this city has seen in a long time), Jonathan Singer (had some emails with, seems like a decent guy, but the DNC/Obama thing is a little much for me), and Bill Van Dusen (know very little about – does anyone? – except runs with the same crowd as the above).

If what this group does or says (look at that list again) aligns with your thinking, then there are your candidates.

If not, then you know who to vote against.

Obamboozled?

It’s not like seeing the leader of the Free World going around making a mockery of the office is something I revel in, no matter who it is. It’s also not like there was such a terrific alternative. But it is interesting to see The One break one promise after another to those bamboozled into voting for him. Most importantly, it’s amusing to make fun of it and those that fell for it.

Here’s what some people just don’t get: let’s say your candidate loses, whether it’s on the national or local level. First mistake is “your candidate“, like I said before, it’s not worth it to get too attached. Second mistake is when the sore winners who think things now must really stink in your collective lives and you must now accept their way or the highway. You surely recall the gloating, even The One’s smarmy “I won” comment.

Here’s what they miss: Personally, our traffic (and the money it brings) and fodder to cover has skyrocketed since the ’07 election of the new abysmal council members here locally and the ineptitude on the national scale. Times couldn’t be better, sure can’t say the same for the ones who supposedly “won”. Noticed how they’ve actually become more angry and caustic, if that was even possible? Again, amusement is the key there, too.

With all there is to cover, as good as times could be, there’s not enough time in the day to do it all. It’s not as if there wasn’t plenty to cover in my podcasts, there was and still is. Just don’t have the time. I’ve had requests to restart the podcast, and downloads are still humming along even though I haven’t done one since December. The written word is getting more hits than ever with a growing cast of contributors. So the demand is there, and every day our local and national leaders embarrass themselves, that demand only goes up.

Which brings us back to The One’s latest broken promise: denial of habeas corpus for terrorists, or if you prefer enemy non-combatants. Actually, I believe terrorism isn’t an accepted word any longer. According to Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano it’s called “man-caused disasters.” It’s okay Obama-voters, you can admit this is really, really lame, yet humorous. But back to the habeas corpus issue.

Glenn Greenwald wrote something over at Salon.Com covering this far better (and with more time than I have) that is worth reading. It has past quotes and broken promises galore. Here’s an Obama quote referring to the Boudemiene ruling: “The Court’s decision is a rejection of the Bush Administration’s attempt to create a legal black hole at Guantanamo – yet another failed policy supported by John McCain. This is an important step toward reestablishing our credibility as a nation committed to the rule of law, and rejecting a false choice between fighting terrorism and respecting habeas corpus.”

And then there’s this one, while on the Senate floor: “But as a parent, I can also imagine the terror I would feel if one of my family members were rounded up in the middle of the night and sent to Guantanamo without even getting one chance to ask why they were being held and being able to prove their innocence.” And, “But restricting somebody’s right to challenge their imprisonment indefinitely is not going to make us safer. In fact, recent evidence shows it is probably making us less safe.”

This last quote is from Mr. Greenwald himself, figured I’d just leave it the way it is as it says it all: “I’m not searching for ways to criticize Obama. I wish I could be writing paeans celebrating the restoration of the Constitution and the rule of law. But these actions — these contradictions between what he said and what he is doing, the embrace of the very powers that caused so much anger towards Bush/Cheney — are so blatant, so transparent, so extreme, that the only way to avoid noticing them is to purposely shut your eyes as tightly as possible and resolve that you don’t want to see it, or that you’re so convinced of his intrinsic Goodness that you’ll just believe that even when it seems like he’s doing bad things, he must really be doing them for the Good. If there was any unanimous progressive consensus over the last eight years, it was that the President does not have the power to kidnap people, ship them far away, and then imprison them indefinitely in a cage without due process. Has that progressive consensus changed as of January 20, 2009? I think we’re going to find out.”

Go ahead Obama-voters, defend this, remember when you do you are defending Bush policies here. And it’s not a matter of whether or not I or anyone else agrees with what his administration is doing in regards to this issue. For me and I’m sure plenty of others it’s the dishonesty and pandering some people will do to get elected. And the people who fall for it. And now, the people who will defend it. Good little lemmings and locksteppers.

You know, sometimes it’s just too easy.

Deciphering political doublespeak

I about fell over laughing when I saw the following tagline “Members of Congress must embrace accountability – People across the country are tightening their belts, and we must expect our government to do the same.” That was the op-ed title from U.S. Representative (Dem-04) Betsy Markey in a special to the Times-Call on March 25, 2009.

Six days earlier I wrote a piece requesting an apology for what our current crop of representatives pulled with their signing of the stimulus bill without reading it. I’m not going to jump to conclusions and delusions of grandeur that these representatives actually read it or care what I wrote, but I did log a lot of hits from U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic National Headquarters computers. They like Googling themselves apparently, cute.

But this pack of nonsense from Ms. Markey was just too much, and more than likely people bought it hook, line, and sinker. She just signed the bill that people are howling over because of these AIG bonuses, yet now proclaims she and her fellow representatives “must embrace accountability” and “tighten their belts”? This is the same old claptrap of “do what I say, but not what I do” in the guise of freshman, inexperienced politics. This of course includes their party leader, President Obama, whose last press conference was a clinic in doublespeak and dodging.

She mentions “implementing effective policies”, like these ridiculous deficits over the next 12 years? Like not noticing these AIG bonuses you signed for? She’s “proud” of her “efforts to bring real change to our government”. Sounds like more of the same, including the lousy congressional ratings. But what “change” has she brought? Once again, I’m all ears.

She worries about the word “accountability” being “in danger of becoming just another meaningless buzzword”. She’s right, and she’s engaging in that very activity. What total hypocrisy and double standards.

When I met and spoke to her my advice was to try to run a clean campaign and stay above the mud slinging, and that she’d probably have a good chance at winning. I wasn’t saying that because I necessarily wanted her to win. While being a nice enough lady, I saw her as a fairly inexperienced, unseasoned future bureaucrat who couldn’t even keep our fairly large union’s name straight. But I gave this suggestion because she needs to keep in mind the district she represents, which is not some heavily leftwing district by any stretch of the imagination.

You that were fooled into voting for her, you’ve also been put on notice by her, if you didn’t catch it. If you read between the lines of her op-ed she’s telegraphing that she’s about to disappoint a lot of people who voted for her. Sure didn’t sound that way during the campaign jumping fully onboard the Obama bandwagon like a bunch of other suckers. This is the problem with going all in with the hero worship when it involves politicians, whether its people seeking office or their minions. Of any party. Sooner or later these people let you down or will be let down, and they sure take it harder than finding out something like Britney Spears isn’t all she was cracked up to be, or the pundit (or governor) they follow is a pedophile, home wrecker, or tax cheat.

When in comes to Ms. Markey, this isn’t some newfound independent streak, it’s the classic art of political self preservation. She knows she’s in a mostly rural, fairly Republican district. She knows she won against an incumbent (and incumbent party) that wasn’t very popular. She knows she played dirty during the campaign. She knows candidates are lining up against her for 2010 already and that she’ll be in one of the national “targeted” races. She knows she needs either a) Republican votes to win, or b) hope, as in 2008, that Republicans don’t show up on Election Day, or both. She hopes op-eds like this one will fool enough people into believing what she says, and ignores her actual actions on The Hill.

Since I gave advice once, and know these blog entries somehow get the attention of certain sites (mentioned above), here’s another tip for Ms. Markey: be yourself. That’s right, be yourself. You were elected to represent this district, but being this is (still, for now) a representative government, you don’t need our constant approval or endless polls, nor do you need numerous town hall meetings to hear griping and your sycophants nudging. (But if you are going to have these kinds of meetings, can they at least be in non-partisan locations and venues?)

Stand and vote on your principles, whatever they may be. You won, with a majority even. Don’t just pander for the next election, actually do something, you may not have a second chance (as in term). And I think you know that. If how you vote now is contrary to what you “sold” during the campaign (for instance, did you say you were against the assault weapons ban? I didn’t hear that), explain it – don’t try to cover it up like this op-ed piece does. Your voting record will be closely scrutinized, count on it. Might as well make the best of it.

But while you’re at it, don’t forget you don’t just represent your party or the drones who would vote for you no matter what. You don’t just represent women, you don’t just represent this district or state. You represent this country above all else. Waste that and you don’t deserve support or re-election.

Local representatives: apologies expected

Oh, the AIG outrage! How could we have been so hoodwinked with these bonuses being paid out? Sounds like some people want blood for this, right?

Well, you don’t have to look far. Look right at your local representatives, that would be Markey, Polis, and Udall. If they went through the trouble to read what they sign they might have noticed this little gem hidden somewhere deep inside. But they or their staffers didn’t apparently, so they just blindly voted along anyway like good little rubber-stamping chimpanzees.

When asked about this, Jared Polis gave some smarmy response that, and I’m paraphrasing “yes, much of this was already looked at prior to vote, we knew for the most part what was in this.” Oh really? Did you know about these bonuses? If so, then your vote approved it, didn’t it? I haven’t heard Markey or Udall’s response to these bonuses or their blind votes; someone may need to wake them up.

Odd how silent many of their supporters are over this nationally and locally. All I’ve heard them complain about lately is lamenting over the signing of contracts (homes, credit cards, cars), not fulfilling them, and those darn consequences of breaking these contracts. Well, Congress just did you one better. They didn’t read these bills and budgets, signed them anyway, and we all pay the price for their (here it comes, these types favorite word) malfeasance!

Perhaps our local representatives, and their ilk who all voted for this fiasco should heed these words:

When you rush these budgets that are a foot high and nobody has any idea what’s in them and nobody’s read them. And it gets rushed through without any clear deliberation or debate, then these kinds of things happen.”

Who said that? Senator Barack Obama November 22, 2004

So go ahead, we’re waiting for your apologies. Better yet, your resignations.
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Had requests for the source of the above Obama quote, I’ll do it one better, here’s the YouTube with the actual audio:

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additional relevant quotes: Jared Polis said this was a “great bill”, and “There’s really no excuse for (members of Congress) not knowing what is in this bill.” During a question-and-answer session with the audience, Polis also addressed concerns that the package contains too much funding, or not enough. “Nobody knows,” Polis said, defending the act-sooner-rather-than-later approach. – from ColoradoDaily.Com
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“We will hunt you down!” thundered Colorado Democratic Rep. Jared Polis during the AIG bonus demagogue-a-thon on the House floor Thursday (3/19/09)
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Amateurism from the top down

It’s a new day in America, or so we’re told. More like that ghastly movie “Day After Tomorrow” if you’re one of the millions who have seen your job go away or a good portion of your retirement account. We kept hearing that “the adults are in charge now”, funny, we haven’t heard that lately.

Buffoonery is in full bloom from Washington all the way down to little old Longmont. Let’s start at the top and work our way downward, literally and figuratively. From the Telegraph UK, in reference to President Obamas snub of British Prime Minister Brown: “Sources close to the White House say Mr Obama and his staff have been “overwhelmed” by the economic meltdown and have voiced concerns that the new president is not getting enough rest.” But what parties they are throwing!

And this gem of true class: “Mr Brown handed over carefully selected gifts, including a pen holder made from the wood of a warship that helped stamp out the slave trade – a sister ship of the vessel from which timbers were taken to build Mr Obama’s Oval Office desk. Mr Obama’s gift in return, a collection of Hollywood film DVDs that could have been bought from any high street store, looked like the kind of thing the White House might hand out to the visiting head of a minor African state.” Yep, in over his head. Maybe Hillary Clinton was right.

Speaking of our new Secretary of State, the Russian media is having a field day with her “reset” button that she gave to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov: “But instead of the Russian word for “reset” (perezagruzka) it featured a slightly different word meaning “overload” or “overcharged” (peregruzka).

Which brings us to our local, ahem, leaders. From the Times-Call: “A Longmont lobbying effort, including Dove chocolate squares taped onto sheets of talking points, fell short of securing federal stimulus funds for a new Diagonal Highway interchange. Before the start of Wednesday night’s Denver Regional Council of Governments meeting, Councilwoman Karen Benker distributed the chocolate-bearing fact sheets — and a letter from Mayor Roger Lange — arguing the case for a $25 million interchange at Colorado highways 119 and 52. Benker is Longmont’s representative on the DRCOG board…” It gets better.

In another Times-Call story, at the same DRCOG event (reminder of previous sentence – “Benker is Longmont’s representative on the DRCOG board”): “No one stepped forward at Wednesday’s hearing to testify in support of Longmont’s application for the McIntosh Lake trail proposal.” Did this part occur prior to the other? Was she out buying a $3 bag of Doves? The result was the same whether Councilmember Benker was there (in the first case) or not (in the second case) – nothing for Longmont. Thanks for the great representation!

But what did get approved? Among other things, a project for Nederland that will help them with their Frozen Dead Guy Days. Ironic that Ms. Benker should choose chocolate from a huge food conglomeration (I happen to love Doves by the way – only if dark) at around the same moment news breaks of Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory closing its store at the Twin Peaks Mall (another place I love and will miss). It’s almost like dancing on the grave of your constituents who just lost their jobs. Wait, someone did that too, Congressman Jared Polis about the Rocky Mountain News shutting down.

The fun never ends.

State capitol rally against generational theft


Since most of you probably had to work on Tuesday, or have what I like to call a “life”, you probably missed the rally held at the State Capitol over the so-called stimulus package. Aka Porkulis, AKA Generational Theft Act, or whatever you prefer to call it.

I had the day off and had to be in the area anyway, so I went down there – along with another contributor to this site, much to our mutual surprise. Regardless of where you stand on this issue, thought you might like to know what this observer saw.

Traffic and parking was tough, so I got there a little late and right about when I thought it was going to start, it was over. It was a pretty decent sized crowd for the middle of a weekday. There were plenty of speakers, but each only spoke a very short period of time, and the wind was a serious factor in trying to hear the speakers. I’m not sure if there were limitations on the time they had at that location, whether a permit was required, etc. Either way, I was surprised how quickly it ended.

But most of the fun occurred after the event was technically over. Lots of people stayed, milled around, and talked to each other. They had a real live pig, and also a roasted one. I thought the latter was fake, a prop, but it was real alright, and sure smelled good.

There were various factions representing all kinds of views, from parents concerned about their kids future, to 9/11 Truthers, and a small scattering of Obamacons. This one guy, who was wearing a soon to be copyright infringed t-shirt, just wasn’t getting the attention he demanded. So he just yelled louder, to no one in particular. I got closer to see what was going on and saw someone trying to engage him, and witnessed pretty much what I expected: certain types yell questions and platitudes, even if you’re trying to actually have a dialogue with them. This guy would make some idiotic assertion; the person talking to him would answer, or try to, but without even listening to the response this clown was on to another talking point.

Like most sane people, they got sick of him and just walked away laughing and shaking their heads. So what did this guy resort to? Apparently he had nothing left in his bag of wits other than a crack on the other guys’ hair, or lack thereof. Yep, that’s it, pretty sad. Then another speaker would flare up with some loud speech, people would look, or maybe gather around, then it would be over. The television stations and news agencies were all there, but I didn’t see any of them cover the activities following the rally.

I saw people talking to elected representatives about issues that concern them, and not all were of one particular political persuasion either. I got to meet a couple of these State Senators (Renfroe and Mitchell), and apologized for mine (Shaffer). I also got to meet Jon Caldara of the Independence Institute and radio/TV fame, but forgot to thank him for allowing me to use some audio from his TV show for my podcast (the ReCreate ’68 piece – Thanks!).

I also met syndicated columnist and FoxNews regular Michelle Malkin. I was standing near the Capitol steps and people were handing me their phones/cameras for me to take a picture of them with her. I was glad to do it, and then I got a picture of me taken with her (thanks for emailing it!). Never the shy one, I wanted to crack a joke for the picture, so I promised her I wouldn’t “Alex Jones” her. (He chased her around at the DNC in Denver like a wailing, well, pig). I then took a self-guided tour of the Capitol building, very impressive.

Some thoughts on the event: Some of the speakers were a little too partisan and this isn’t really a left/right, conservative/liberal, or Republican/Democrat issue. I was glad to see some speakers, most notably Mr. Caldara make that point. Your kids and mine, and theirs yet to be born, will be saddled by this for decades and some of those labels and parties may just be a memory by then. But this insanely large bill (and the one before it and the ones sure to follow) won’t be a memory; it’ll be their reality – as sad as it may be.

I’m not much of a rally attendee or marcher. I do my talking either here, on a podcast, at/to city council, or in the newspaper. I went to this event to say I was there on the day when my President signed away my future family members hopes of a life as good as mine and those before me. For you other parents (regardless of affiliation) who are equally concerned, even though I wasn’t one of the ones yelling in the crowd, I was there for you, too.

Does that mean I have a better answer or alternative? No. But at least I would hope my representatives (this includes you Congresswoman Markey, and Senators Udall and Bennet) would do us the favor of actually reading a bill of this magnitude before signing it. These three clearly did not do that and I consider this a dereliction of their duty. This proves they are just rubber-stamping political hacks. Thanks for nothing. No, thanks for worse than nothing.

You always hope your kids will do better than yourself, sort of improve on the current model. Now those hopes have been handcuffed. And while I can’t understand how some people are thrilled that the government is handing out billions (trillions with interest) and think it’s free money. It’s not free, it has to be paid back, or they’ll just put the money printing press on hyperdrive followed by hyperinflation. Either way, it’s tying future generations’ hands behind their back as they hope to try to strike out on their own.

They’ll likely strike out alright, but not the good kind.

You can see pictures of this event and more at the following Longmont Examiner page:
Locals attend Anti-Pork Roast on Capitol steps

2008 Presidential Prediction


Here’s one of those posts I’ll either want to forget about if it’s way off, or republish over and over again. Lots of other sites are making their final predictions for the Presidential race, so here’s mine:


Barack Obama 291

John McCain 247


RealClearPolitics has it at Obama 338 / McCain 200, but there are a couple of states we disagree about: Florida and Ohio, which RCP gives to Obama.

McCain has been pushing very hard for Pennsylvania, and without Virginia, it’s his only hope. But even with Pennsylvania in my scenario he’d still end up 2 Electoral College votes short (268-270) and would need a state somewhere else. I’m not totally convinced Nevada and Colorado are lost to McCain, and some sites think Iowa and Minnesota are still in play. I don’t.

All eyes will be on the first polls to close, which include Virginia, and within an hour followed by Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. How those go will decide if it will be a long night or not.

2008 Presidential Prediction


Here’s one of those posts I’ll either want to forget about if it’s way off, or republish over and over again. Lots of other sites are making their final predictions for the Presidential race, so here’s mine:


Barack Obama 291

John McCain 247


RealClearPolitics has it at Obama 338 / McCain 200, but there are a couple of states we disagree about: Florida and Ohio, which RCP gives to Obama.

McCain has been pushing very hard for Pennsylvania, and without Virginia, it’s his only hope. But even with Pennsylvania in my scenario he’d still end up 2 Electoral College votes short (268-270) and would need a state somewhere else. I’m not totally convinced Nevada and Colorado are lost to McCain, and some sites think Iowa and Minnesota are still in play. I don’t.

All eyes will be on the first polls to close, which include Virginia, and within an hour followed by Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. How those go will decide if it will be a long night or not.

Election Night Scoresheet


Like I’ve said before, I enjoy predicting elections, and usually do fairly well at it. This one though? The variables involved and combinations of possibilities are nearly too mind boggling to nail it down one way or the other. I may tweak a few numbers here and there right up to Election Day, but for now I see more combinations of Electoral College Votes (ECV’s) for Obama to reach the magic number of 270 than for McCain. My initial guess is for Obama to end up with either worst case 273 or best case 311 ECV’s.

But how and when will we know? The networks are already saying they won’t be in any great rush to declare a winner. They are also gun-shy over relying too much on their exit polls, which in 2004 gave John Kerry false hopes during the afternoon on Election Day. The networks also don’t want people tuning out too early, so they’ll likely drag this out as long as possible. In Colorado’s case, we might not have a clear vote count until after midnight, if we’re lucky. So, again, what’s the best way to gauge what’s going on?

I put together a scoresheet of when each state’s polls close, how many ECV’s they are worth, and indicated in bold the important ones to watch. Some states straddle more than one time zone, but the times given (all Mountain Standard Time) are usually when each given state concludes the majority of its voting. So, here they are.

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5:00pm VT(3) / VA (13) / SC (8) / GA (15) / KY (8) / IN (11)

5:30pm NC (15) / WV (5) / OH (20)

6:00pm ME (4) / MA (12) / NH (4) / CT (7) / NJ (15) / PA (21) / DE (3) / MD (10) / DC (3) / FL (27) / TN (11) / AL (9) / MS (6) / IL (21) / MO (11) / OK (7) / 6:30pm AR (6)

7:00pm KS (6) / MI (17) / NY (31) / RI (4) / WI (10) / LA (9) / MN (10) / TX (34) / NE (5) / SD (3) / NM (5) / CO (9) / WY (3) / AZ (10)

8:00pm ND (3) / IA (7) / MT (3) / UT (5) / NV (5)

9:00pm CA (55) / ID (4) / WA (11) / OR (7) / HI (4) / 10:00pm AK (3)

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How crucial states go between 5pm and 6pm will pretty much decide who the winner is, that is IF the networks show the tallies in a timely manner. If Obama wins VA and OH, it’s pretty much over for McCain. If these are split or if McCain wins both, it’s going to be a long night, and the next two important states to watch will be NH and PA. Considering the idea of a split (or else why even go any further in this discussion?), if McCain were to win OH, then that might point to strength in PA, especially western and central PA. If McCain were to win NH, that would indicate weakness for Obama in some of the supposedly locked up blue states down the line. I tend to think McCain would win neither of these states.

So if it’s still a race by the time CO’s polls close, it then all comes down to three states: CO, NM, and NV. There’s little doubt that Obama will win the west coast and HI, equaling 77 Electoral votes. In just about any scenario, these will be the states that put Obama up over 270 EV’s. If Obama hasn’t reached 192 ECV’s before the west coast polls close, he won’t reach 269 (a 269-269 tie would go to Obama through the House of Representatives).

And here is where the dreaded slow counting expected for Colorado comes in, if it comes to this scenario. If either candidate is 9 shy of 270, Colorado will be under the microscope and attorneys will be flocking to our state in record numbers, a few per county, and we may not know the final results for a day or two.

So, I hope that helps you in weaving through the multimedia nightmare that might be awaiting us on Election Night. The eventual winner may not appear that way (based on ECV’s) for quite a while, but the keys to watch for above should give you a clue of how it’s going along the way.

Biden’s a walking “Daisy” ad


Back in 1964 in the presidential race of Democratic President Lyndon Johnson and Republican Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater, there was a television advertisement put out by the Johnson campaign called the “Daisy” ad. It signaled the beginning of what today we call negative advertising, and still remains one of the most controversial political advertisements ever made. It proved negative ad campaigns worked, and this one was only aired once. Pandora’s Box was forever opened that day on this subject, and like today, I guess the ends justified the means.

The point of the ad was to scare voters about Senator Goldwater, and his comments about using nuclear weapons in Vietnam, a war the Kennedy/Johnson administrations started. So on top of Vietnam, we can also thank these people and their party for the negative ads everyone seems to complain about these days.

Well, someone in this race has made a case that electing Democratic Illinois Senator Barack Obama for President could have similar consequences. Mark my words. It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy…Remember I said it standing here. If you don’t remember anything else I said. Watch, we’re gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy. And he’s gonna have to make some really tough — I don’t know what the decision’s gonna be, but I promise you it will occur. As a student of history and having served with seven presidents, I guarantee you it’s gonna happen.

What’s “gonna happen”?

Oh, by the way, this is not a negative ad from the Republican Party, this is Democratic Vice-Presidential Candidate Joe Biden, all but assuring us we’re going to face near imminent attack, or something, if his running mate wins! He didn’t stop there: I can give you at least four or five scenarios from where it might originate…And he’s gonna need help. And the kind of help he’s gonna need is, he’s gonna need you – not financially to help him – we’re gonna need you to use your influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it’s not gonna be apparent initially, it’s not gonna be apparent that we’re rightgird your loins.”

I have problems with those that vote strictly for reasons of personal gain, and I know some that are doing that very thing, which is their right. And while I can make the best out of just about any situation, it’s not inconceivable that I’d personally benefit from higher pay (but hopefully not high enough to hit Obama’s idea of “rich”), an improved collective bargaining contract, and possibly a bloated and very nice retirement deal with an Obama presidency. How’s that? Politicians always look out for their own pay, health benefits, and retirement plans, and when they do, some of us reap those rewards. That doesn’t make it right though.

But it’s hard to find a silver lining on a promised and guaranteed attack or crisis. At first I thought he meant a financial crisis requiring tough and uncomfortable decisions affecting us all, like a full fledge Depression. But he didn’t mean that at all, he meant something big, 9/11 big. Otherwise, why would he throw in the line about girding our loins, and how it’s not going to be apparent that the decisions President Obama will make are “right” initially? Is that admitting error before the fact? Some kind of pre-emptive lowering of the bar?

Talk about instilling confidence. And people make fun of Sarah Palin? This Biden is a walking, talking gaffe-o-matic. Let’s just hope this prediction of his, no matter who wins, is just another one of his many insertions of foot in mouth.